If the west had stood up to Putin in 2014 when he invaded Crimea, and Europe had not been afraid to lose access to cheap Russian oil, what are the odds the Ukraine war never happens?

Collin Donnell
@collin
If the west had stood up to Putin in 2014 when he invaded Crimea, and Europe had not been afraid to lose access to cheap Russian oil, what are the odds the Ukraine war never happens?